Proof That Egypt Is Screwed!
April 27th, 2007
I hate to be pessimistic, even though it comes natural to me, however when you can read your own thoughts posted daily on your own website there’s a certain motivation to stay “positive”. I wont be doing that in this post though.
Egypts future has been teetering on catastrophe for years now, expectations have come and gone and I have officially lost hope. At this point my expectations for Egypt are consistent with your worst doomsday scenario. Let me explain why.
For decades opposition to the Egyptian Government has consisted of two groups, the Muslim Brotherhood, who at best would accomplish turning Egypt into a mix between Palestine and Iran. The other group is less organized and generally consists of old unemployed men bitching about their crappy lives in any one of Egypts coffee shops.
In 2005 Kifaya appeared on the Egyptian political landscape. A group of secular leftists whose battle was not only against the indefinite reign of the Mubarak family but against the threat of a polarized public and radical Egyptian government led by the Muslim Brotherhood.
The largest hurdle facing Kifaya has been their futile numbers and lack of public support but apparently their newest leader, Abdel Wahab Messiri, has found a solution to that problem. He wants to form an alliance with the Muslim Brotherhood itself, a deal with the devil basically.
Its his belief that a united front between the two groups would give Egyptians the best chance of defeating Mubarak despite their vastly different goals. Kifaya wants democracy for Egyptians and the Brotherhood wants democracy just long enough so the stupid people can vote them in followed by their own brand of dictatorship.
How sad and depressing! If there’s one thing that threatens the future of Egypt more than Mubarak himself it would be the Muslim Brotherhood. They intend to revolutionize Egypt in the same way Iran was “revolutionized” in 1979. You don’t need me to tell you what a giant cataclysm that would be, especially if you consider that by the time Egypt completes its newly founded nuclear program the Muslim Brotherhood will be ready to step into the presidential office.
No offense to those who have stayed loyal to Kifaya but I recommend you count your losses and separate yourselves from this group gone astray. You might as well cut out the middle man and join the Brotherhood.
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D.B., that picture is just one reason of many why I love you.
Well, the Muslim Brotherhood is a special case. On the one hand they are quite heterogeneous. Especially the younger generation has a certain liberal view of politics and faith (or as they would say of Islam). But on the other hand there are still some very important questions unsolved (or not mentioned).
Nathan Brown, Amr Hamzawy and Marina S. Ottaway are speaking of gray zones (longer pdf essay).
The answer of Ikhwanweb is available here.
It is quite difficult to have a change in politics in Egypt. Surely you need a broad public coalition to have some peaceful results. Thus the Muslim Brethren could be a partner. But, without doubt, a two edged one.
so long,
Marten
I don’t think anything could possibly be worse than another 5 years under the rule of Mubarak, his cronies, and his extended family. The have done nothing but drag Egypt’s regional leadership role into the sewage of their short-sighted unambitious ignorant local and foreign policies (Can you believe the mess they made of last years Zionist invasion of Lebanon). The only thing these monkeys running the country deserve credit for is not dragging us into another disastrous war.
It’s like that Adel Imam movie: Mubarak’s rule over the country has lulled the people into a state of political, economic and social sterilization.
I say bring the Brotherhood on … with or without Kifaya. They can’t possibly do worse for the stagnating social, economic and political scene in Cairo.
Unfortunately Egypt’s economic and political sterilization has made that an all too common sentiment. Egyptians have been fooled into believing that to be a viable option even the solution.
I believe that was the feeling in Iran when they booted the Shah. They had a shitty lame duck dictator who they despised. They welcomed the 79 revolution thinking, “hey it couldnt possibly be worse”. We know how that story ended.
Evil and corruption are progressive, tomorrows dictators are learning from todays leaders. Dont forget, we all thought it couldnt get worse than Saddam either.
What happens if Mubarak dies tomorrow? He is 78 years old.
One thing you seem to have forgotten is the army. They are pro-broterhood, however, it will still be a game of power.
At this stage, the son seems to have good prospective, however, little experience and that’s the risk.
I beleive there is no hope under the brotherhood…It is just going to be another sad chapter for 80 million people.
The army is pro-brotherhood? Is this a solid fact? because this is scary…
P.S. : http://www.sandmonkey.org/2007/04/28/done/
His son takes over? Isn’t this what everyone is expecting?