Movement Improves in Iran
June 24th, 2009After Iran’s disputed presidential election, we have three different categories of people who now challenge the regime by taking to the streets:
• The first category belongs to a Muslim population who voted for Mousavi or Karoubi by conviction; they still capitalise their hope in reforms within the Islamic Republic of Iran.
• The second one is those who voted for one of the “reformists” as a “catalyst” to ease the way for a secular and democratic regime. They voted for them as the lesser evils, hoping to have one of them pave the way toward freedom and secularism in the future.
• And the third category belongs to the Iranians who boycotted the election and want an immediate democratic and secular regime on the ruins of the IRI.
Without bringing up the value of democracy and secularism, without denouncing the 30-year-old IRI human rights violations, the first category is a hollow bubble which disappears soon or must be transformed, materialised, and polarised into a national freedom movement close to the ideals of the second, and especially the third category.
Now, according to the news coming from the ongoing anti-regime protests in and outside the country, the second category is joining the third one to the point that the Iranian youth do not want to risk their lives for the survival of such a regime under any form. They start casting doubt on the legitimacy of the regime and will join the third category which wants a total elimination of the IRI.
By asserting that the first category is not hostile to IRI survival, the regime will try to find a compromise with Mousavi or Karoubi to halt uncontrolled development of the movement. This is also an option which is desired by Mullahs’ international partners and all IRI lobby groups in the West which, among others, broker the IRI state mafia with the western Oil Companies and military investors.
The regime is highly prudent; therefore, it reinforces its troops on the streets. The IRI tries to separate “reformists” from the “agents of foreign enemies” or in fact from the second and third categories which are rapidly increasing. Khamenei openly threatened them in front of three hundred followers and plainclothes at the last Friday prayers, telling them to join the establishment before it is too late.
What concerns all secular and democrats is that we should avoid any mistrust and confusion which may result in an unnecessary rupture of these three different categories; it will be vital to focus on the unity of our nation in their fair struggles against the plague of the IRI as long as unity is possible; only thus will the first two categories get closer to the third category and so make regime change possible.
Only thanks to the unity, a possible desertion of state troops and their solidarity with their people can be expected. It would not matter to which category people belong.
This spontaneous movement improves and like any spontaneous movement it needs tactical phases to achieve its strategy.
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Dear Rashidian,
Then, which kind of regime you believe should be established after hypothetical down of this one? Another imperial (Shahanshahi)? Another Islamic? You believe this land is democratic?
I dont believe in revolution as a solution. Revolution is always mistake. Reform is a better alternative.
Dear Lord Kavi,
In a free Iran people can choose the form of thier regime, I will vote for a secular and democratic republic.
Lord Kavi,
When the road to reform is blocked by corruption, and a backwards theology, revolution is the only solution available.
Why does everyone assume that when someone asks for the destruction of the IRI, that they are implying we bring back the shah? A democracy in Iran once existed prior to the coup of 1953, so a secular and democratic republic is what we want.
Dear Hamid,
I agree with your discussion. As said, the first step is to free the country from the clutches of Mullahs.
Dear guys,
I know what you say and I didnt mean the only solution to Mullahs regime is Shah or something like this. I believe revolution is mistake and always is a mistake. I agree that the solution is democracy and specially a secular one, but you all know at 1979 revolution, no one was aware of such an Islamic regime to appear.
The point is this: in revolutions the path is not defined and any movement or power can steal the power.
You think that revolution (which you dont define a path for) is the best solution, but do you have any certainty about Islamic regime disappearance? There is still a reversal fear of Islamic regime in revolutions. Iranian have still many Islamic bounds. Thats my fear!
As long as the civil society is not matured enough to embrace democracy, no immediate change can bring about a democratic system.
Don’t you think a lot of voters are a-political and are just fed-up with the way Ahmadinejad is leading the country? I have the feeling your categories consist of only a small part of the electorate.
Erik,
The first group represents those who want a change within the regime– “fed up with ahmadinejad…” e.i., Moussavi / Karroubi voters, being politised or “apolotised” dose not change their vote.