Paralysing Mullahs' Regime
There has been always a strong correlation between the structure of power in Iran and oil. Not only industry and services are heavily dependent on oil revenue, but also in a larger scale all repressive forces and institutions of dictatorial regimes rely on it. Oil production in Iran is not only at the service of development of country, but mainly at the interests of the corrupt ruling elite and especially survival of their oppressive regime.
In the case of the IRI, oil is the greatest income of state mafia which makes the regime possible to set up their repressive institutions, propaganda machine, thousands of plain clothes thugs to beat up angry people, apologists in the West, sold intellectuals from various factions of the regime who propagate that any the regime is both legitimate and can be reformed within its constitution, and terrorist groups to advance the IRI agenda in and out of the country. The regime also spends a part of this Iranian national resource to help the two Islamist terrorist groups, Hamas, Hezbollah to prevent peaceful solutions in the region.
The U.N. Security Council resolutions and EU have already mentioned the possibility of oil sanctions on the IRI due to its nuclear ambitions and its strategy to export violence in the region. In the light of such resolutions and added to them the ongoing brutalities after the coup, the world must timely step up: sanction on fuel supplies to Iran is the first step to shake off the regime and is now widely expected by both Iranians and the international community.
The domestic consume of gasoline is estimated 75 million litres a day, of which 36 million is imported from India. If the gasoline delivery is stopped, Iran’s domestic consummation, including that of the repressive machine, of the regime, can be paralysed within a week. In such a case the heroic people of Iran can better do the rest to send the whole regime in the dustbin of history.
India supplies a great part of the needed gasoline which helps the Mullahs’ regime to survive– it imports Iranian crude oil and exports to Iran gasoline after refining. In a perspective of an international solidarity with the oppressed people of Iran in struggle against the illegitimate regime of coup d’état, India as the biggest democracy of the world can play an important factor to side with the freedom-loving people of Iran in their struggle against the totalitarian IRI in Iran.
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I am no friend of the mullahocracy, but I think that oil embargo against Iran would result just in one thing: turning the Iranian regime into a complete lapdog of China. China needs oil and is strong enough to ignore any US-initiated embargo. Already these regimes are quite good “buddies”.
I cannot remember any single trade embargo which would bring down a totalitarian regime:
- embargo against Cuba, 50 years now, no regime change,
- embargo against North Korea, 60 years now, no regime change,
- embargo against Saddams Iraq, 13 years, and it finally still took a military invasion to bring him down. The embargo certainly weakened his army, but not to the point of successful domestic revolution.
So, I do not consider trade embargo as a particularly useful weapon of coercion in the international scene. Why do you?
Do not speak on behalf of Iranians please. Oil sanctions can only paralyse daily life of the people, not ‘the oppressive machine’ of the regime, to mention your words. Iran imports 36 (out of 75) million litres from India. Right. 39 million litres produced domestically is not enough to keep that machine running?
Whatever the track record of sanctions against dictatorial regimes, the international community must impose them as morale and legal punishments. Oil as a lucrative trade for energy hungry international firms should not be dismal, if the Iranian Diaspora highlights it, fuel embargo will weaken the IRI and creates better conditions for people to topple the regime.
Nevertheles, sanctions are a factor to desabilise dictators, but not a determined weapon–added to sanctions, Iranian people’s struggles are the determined factors.
Sanctions worked to topple Apartheid, and weakened Saddam, but were not effective in cuba because the regime had popular support. By contrast the IRI is hated by an increasing majority of Iranians.
India makes unfair deals with a barbaric regime which wastes its national resources to oppress Iranian people snce three decades. In its track of illegitimacy, now this regime carries a coup d’état and cannot be ignored by the biggest democracy, India. China and Russia are not democratic states and cannot be expected to do the same. Furthermore, they do not export gasoline to Iran, they buy IRI oil and gas under official market price, in turn to support the survival of Mullahs.
its sad to hear such people who have iranian roots speeking like this…sorry to say this, but for me your point of view is not valid…simple as that, I don’t know you but from what i see it seems that you are someone who has been borned in europe or you are living there since long time..so its not strang to hear you saying this.
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